Being a compulsive statistics nerd, I spent far too much
time studying the Electoral College map over the last six months. In October, I was reading the polls on my i-phone
twice a day. When asked to predict the
election outcome the day before November 6, I got it right except for
Florida. The major reason that I felt
Obama would win the election finally was a steady demographic shift that has
been ongoing for most of my life.
Basically every four years, non-Latino white people represent about two
percent less of the electorate from the previous presidential election. This is just something that we statistical
nerds have quietly noticed.