Friday, November 16, 2012


Being a compulsive statistics nerd, I spent far too much time studying the Electoral College map over the last six months.  In October, I was reading the polls on my i-phone twice a day.  When asked to predict the election outcome the day before November 6, I got it right except for Florida.  The major reason that I felt Obama would win the election finally was a steady demographic shift that has been ongoing for most of my life.  Basically every four years, non-Latino white people represent about two percent less of the electorate from the previous presidential election.   This is just something that we statistical nerds have quietly noticed.